Real Sociedad holds a strong home advantage with 60% win rate at home and frequent high-scoring games (70% over 2.5 goals, 80% BTTS), while Getafe struggles away (30% wins). Predictive models give Real Sociedad ~48-50% win probability, aligning with odds of 1.75 implying ~57% but models suggest value on Getafe at 5.50 due to 4.3% edge; however, home form favors Sociedad as predicted outcome. Over 2.5 recommended despite under-favored due to odds value[1][2].